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Trading with AI: déjà vu!?
I remember the times when the Metatrader4 platform became popular - you could easily and simply create bots there. Perform backtests, optimize - watch how they work, etc. I remember starting the tests myself - creating simple Moving Average (MA) cross ideas, and so on: when to buy and when to sell based on aggressive moving averages (MA). Until we’ve got to grid trading strategies (which, by the way, are now popular in the crypto trading world), Martingale strategies, and oth
Agris Gruzdas
5 hours ago5 min read


How reliable is artificial intelligence (AI) when it comes to investment or trading decisions?
I asked this question to AI, to get a real sense of it, and this is what I’ve got, a short summary, of course: AI is an extremely powerful tool for analyzing data. But it should not be trusted as a fully autonomous decision-maker in financial markets . The most effective approach today is what many professionals call “human-in-the-loop”: a combination of artificial intelligence and human judgment. The main aspect we all should be aware of is that Artificial intelligence syst
Agris Gruzdas
Mar 194 min read


My Optimistic Take on AI’s Pessimistic Forecast for 2026
New Year, New Forecasts! Again, we must try to be smarter than the rest, as I wrote in one of my previous blog posts: Is it possible to be smarter than the rest of the world ? The questions still stand – is it, really? Well, having all those shiny tools under your belt: Google, AI, and the internet as such, creates an illusion that is actually possible. Real-time macro data is easily available, Artificial Intelligence-generated forecasts, numerous instantaneous forecasts/podc
Agris Gruzdas
Jan 299 min read


Data confirms: the classic portfolio allocation is DEAD!
One day I was talking to a colleague of mine about diversification. Of course, the classic “60/40 portfolio” model came up. What is interesting is that the internet is full of… rumors and opinions that this type of investment and portfolio allocation is dead. So, here we go – I thought I should take a look at the matter, to see if the classic portfolio type is still relevant. I didn't have to look too far - Morningstar.com has already done some pretty good analysis on the t
Agris Gruzdas
Oct 28, 20253 min read


Stay calm: we are not there yet
The markets have been quite volatile lately. It is influenced by many different factors: political, geopolitical, and overall fragile mood as such. The biggest noise, as always, is made by the crypto world – the last week has been particularly painful to look at: Overall, the crypto market capitalization lost +/- 700 billion 😉. Impressive enough to say the least. Market participants said the crypto sector on Friday saw more than $19 billion in liquidations across leveraged
Agris Gruzdas
Oct 21, 20255 min read


The Shortcut to Market Logic: 5 Indicators Every Investor Should Really Watch
If you’ve been around markets long enough, you start to notice a strange thing — people love complexity. The more confusing, the better....
Agris Gruzdas
Oct 10, 20253 min read
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